Kasich Reaches 20 Percent in New Hampshire, Still Has to Survive Iowa

Kasich earned 20 percent in the latest ARG poll. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

An American Research Group poll released Tuesday showed Ohio Gov. John Kasich in second place in New Hampshire Republican primary, registering at 20 percent to Donald Trump's 27 percent.  


The poll, which was conducted Jan. 15-18, surveyed 600 likely Republican primary voters, including 269 independents, via telephone. A previous ARG poll in New Hampshire, conducted Jan. 7-10, showed Kasich tied with Florida Sen. Marco Rubio at 14 percent, behind Trump at 25 percent. Other recent polls have showed Kasich in second or third place in the Granite State, but no recent polls have shown him garnering 20 percent.  

"We're like the little engine that can so keep an eye on us and if we come out of New Hampshire as a story, I'm just going to tell you ... I believe I'll be the nominee," Kasich said Sunday on CBS' "Face the Nation."  The primary is on Feb. 9.  

Before New Hampshire, Kasich will be put to the test in Iowa, where he's consistently polled near the bottom of the GOP pack. And analysts say even if Kasich has support in New Hampshire — he earned the endorsements of the Nashua Telegraph, Foster's Daily Democrat and the Portsmouth Herald over the weekend — a poor showing in the Hawkeye State on Feb. 1 could hurt his candidacy elsewhere.  

In its 2014 pollster ratings, FiveThirtyEight gives ARG a "C-"  for accuracy and methodology.  

Contact Pathé at  simonepathe@rollcall.com  and follow her on Twitter @sfpathe . Related: Roll Call Race Ratings Map: Ratings for Every House and Senate Race in 2016 Get breaking news alerts and more from Roll Call in your inbox or on your iPhone.