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But a big-name challenger is considering a run: Democrat Gwen Graham — whose father, Bob Graham, served as both governor and senator in the state — is a very likely contender.
Further south, the perennial Florida political question remains unanswered: Will Young retire? His district voted for Obama in 2012, but it will probably be a steep climb for anyone to unseat the 22-term veteran.
Young, 82, has been a target of Democrats for years, and he’s proved victorious every time. But his district could be the most competitive in the state if there is an open-seat race for it.
Murphy won a close victory in 2012, beating Rep. Allen B. West, a Republican, by fewer than 2,000 votes. That’s led to a slew of GOP names floated as potential challengers. Among them are: state Rep. Gayle B. Harrell, state Sen. Joe Negron and businessman Gary Uber.
The competitive composition of Murphy’s district means Republicans will heavily target the seat, most likely. But Murphy survived having millions of dollars spent against him in a grueling race, so he cannot not be easily discounted.
Garcia in 2012 unseated David Rivera, an embattled GOP incumbent facing ethics allegations. This time, Republicans will have a heavier lift taking out Garcia. GOP names floated include state Rep. José Felix Diaz, Miami-Dade School Board Member Carlos Curbelo and former Miami-Dade County Commissioner Joe A. Martinez.