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California Retirements Present Opportunities

Scott J. Ferrell/CQ Roll Call File Photo
Rules Chairman David Dreier had nowhere to go after the Citizens Redistricting Commission carved up his district. There is speculation that Dreier may soon announce his retirement from the House now that the National Republican Congressional Committee has endorsed Rep. Gary Miller in his run for Rep. Jerry Lewis’ seat.

With Miller running in the 31st, it avoids a battle and frees up a lot of resources for us to win some of these other races, Del Beccaro added.

Miller will now vie for a Democratic-leaning district, but he wont be alone. San Bernardino County District Attorney Mike Ramos (R) took himself out of the running, but state Sen. Bob Dutton (R) told Roll Call on Friday that he remains very, very interested and strongly leaning in that direction. Dutton, who said hell likely announce his decision any day now, noted that nearly the entire district overlaps with his state Senate district, which hes represented for seven years, while Miller doesnt currently represent any of it.

At the same time, Democrats got their desired candidate for the district in Redlands Mayor Pete Aguilar.

Jerry Lewis retirement takes a seat from being a small opportunity to being a serious opportunity, and were marshaling to have a serious candidate run a serious race and make that a pickup for Democrats in California, said Eric Bauman, chairman of the Los Angeles County Democratic Party. And it looks like Mayor Pete Aguilar could be just that candidate.

Millers immediate endorsement by the National Republican Congressional Committee led to further speculation that Rules Chairman David Dreier (R) will be the next to announce his retirement. Dreier was left with nowhere to go after the Citizens Redistricting Commission carved up his district.

A Dreier spokesman did not return a call for comment, but the Congressman released a statement after Lewis retirement announcement.

It has been an honor to serve with them, Dreier said last week of his three retiring colleagues. We will all continue to work on these and other issues, particularly job creation, throughout the coming year.

National Democrats welcomed Galleglys retirement, which assured that the new 26th district, which leans slightly Democratic and has a 26 percent Latino voting-age population, would be an open seat. Its marginal partisan leaning is attractive to both parties, however, and Galleglys exit opened the door for at least two more Republicans: state Sen. Tony Strickland, who is expected to run and is considered a strong candidate, and Ventura County Supervisor Linda Parks.

Democrats were already flocking to the district, including Ventura County Supervisor Steve Bennett, whom Democrats have wanted to run for Congress for some time, as well as Moorpark City Councilman David Pollock, Oxnard Harbor Commissioner Jess Herrera and businessman David Cruz Thayne.

Two open districts affected by GOP retirements that wont be competitive for Democrats are the 8th in the High Desert, which Lewis could have run for, and Hergers 1st in the northeastern corner of the state.

Two top Republicans announced in the 8th immediately after Lewis announcement: Assemblyman Paul Cook and San Bernardino County Supervisor Brad Mitzelfelt. Because of the states new top-two primary format, both could advance to the November general election.

Hergers exit caused relatively little political disruption, but it led yet another state legislator to run for Congress. Herger endorsed state Sen. Doug LaMalfa, the early favorite.

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