Reps. Jason Altmire (above) and Tim Murphy might face off after redistricting.
But he acknowledged Western Pennsylvania will see changes.
"We do recognize that there's been significant population loss out west and that redistricting has to reflect that," Turzai said.
Republicans cautioned that an Altmire-vs.-Murphy contest remains a remote possibility, but the prospect still spooks many Keystone State Republicans. The GOP would rather see two Democrats face off — even if it means drawing a more Democratic-leaning district.
"Altmire versus Critz is what I think will ultimately be the situation," said Rep. Bill Shuster (R), an influential voice in the state's redistricting. "Republicans control everything in the state, so we should have a map that's beneficial to Republicans."
But in another part of the state, what's beneficial to most Republicans is not necessarily helpful to one of them: Pitts. His persistent unwillingness to move makes GOP efforts to shore up their most vulnerable Members more complicated.
Pitts' district is based in conservative Lancaster County, but the eight-term Republican lives in neighboring Chester County. That's a problem for Gerlach and freshman Rep. Patrick Meehan (R), who both represent competitive districts on Pitts' border.
In order to shore up Republican voters in those two seats, their districts will have to move north and west into Pitts' territory. As a result, the new Pennsylvania map will likely include an awkward thin line on the state's southern border to accommodate Pitts' home in his district.
Also in Southeastern Pennsylvania, sources said, Republicans have abandoned efforts to throw Democratic Reps. Allyson Schwartz and Chakah Fattah into the same district. Republicans would like to force Schwartz into a competitive race because they see her as a political threat in future statewide races. But the geographic reality of displacing so many Democrats from those two Philadelphia districts makes it difficult to shore up the surrounding Republicans.
Elsewhere, Republicans expect Holden and freshman Rep. Lou Barletta (R) to win big in the redistricting lottery. Both Members will get safer seats — but Holden's new district won't be pretty. It will likely be shaped like a trapezoid or a hockey stick, stretching from Harrisburg, north through his Schuylkill County base and hook in Scranton.
As for timing, Pennsylvania Republicans believe lawmakers will release the new map before the end of the month. There's no mandated deadline for completing the maps, but House hopefuls must file for office by mid-February for the April primary.
"I believe they're starting to work on ours as we speak," Shuster said. "My guess would be we'll start to hear and see what it's looking like in the next couple weeks."
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