GOP presidential contender Herman Cain told a luncheon audience at the National Press Club that he has never sexually harassed anyone during his 40 years in the business world, describing the reports of sexual harassment accusations from National Restaurant Association employees as false.
"I keep thinking that Cain's inability to give substantive answers to real issues about foreign policy or the economy will diminish him in the eyes of voters. Yet, he keeps on going," said one Republican operative with past experience on a presidential campaign. "I'm starting to think Herman Cain is the tea party's new Sarah Palin. His ignorance is translated to mean 'outsider' to many voters."
Palin, the former Alaska governor and 2008 vice presidential nominee, saw a similar rise in popularity among conservative and tea party activists in the midst of criticism from the national press corps and many in the professional Republican political class. Palin's popularity among rank-and-file voters has waned since the 2008 campaign, but she remains a folk hero in conservative circles.
Experienced Republican political consultants are generally doubtful about Cain's viability, either questioning a campaign strategy that relies less than usual on the support from early primary and caucus states or expecting that GOP primary voters will ultimately conclude that he is not presidential material. But the sexual harassment charges are not among the reasons they expect Cain to ultimately fade. In fact, many candidates have overcome similar allegations.
Bill Clinton was elected president in 1992 after dealing with sexual misconduct charges in his campaign, while actor Arnold Schwarzenegger was elected California governor in a 2003 recall contest just days after the Los Angeles Times reported that he had been accused numerous times of groping and otherwise sexually harassing women.
Although new details were still coming to light Monday night, GOP strategists said the allegations against Cain thus far are simply too thin to inflict lasting damage.
"If his denials today are accurate and effectively put the story to bed, then he'll be fine. Heck, the whole episode might even benefit him as conservatives rally around him," said a Republican media strategist with presidential campaign experience. "So far, he's proven to be Teflon. His fav-unfav numbers are so much better than any of his opponents' — he's in a great position to rise above any attacks as politics as usual."
The key to Cain surviving this storm is crisis management and whether a campaign populated by political operatives thin on presidential experience can effectively protect him. On that score, Cain's campaign failed miserably.
One Republican strategist who worked on a 2008 presidential campaign said the Cain team's early missteps in handling the sexual harassment allegations point to larger problems in handling the increased scrutiny that is likely to continue as long as the Georgian remains atop the polls. Another Republican operative said the Cain campaign's reaction to the charges "expose the amateurish nature of his candidacy." The candidate's veracity also matters and could influence the effect of this story.
"Cain can't hold up under the scrutiny for long. These allegations are the first of the [opposition] research the other candidates will leak out on Cain," said a Republican operative based in Washington. "I think this is the tip of the iceberg."
Roll Call has launched a new feature, Hill Navigator, to advise congressional staffers and would-be staffers on how to manage workplace issues on Capitol Hill. Please send us your questions anything from office etiquette, to handling awkward moments, to what happens when the work life gets too personal. Submissions will be treated anonymously.