With Price insisting he’ll run again, there is the potential of a Member-vs.-Member primary. Both Price and Miller represent portions of the new 4th district in their current districts, but in a showdown, Price would appear to have the early edge with the advantage of his seniority.
5th District Incumbent: Virginia Foxx (R) 4th term (66 percent) Rating: Safe Republican
While Foxx’s northwestern 5th district grows a bit less Republican under the new lines, the Congresswoman should have no trouble cruising to a fifth term.
6th district Incumbent: Howard Coble (R) 14th term (75 percent) Rating: Safe Republican
The question isn’t whether a Democrat will win this district — one won’t. It’s whether Coble, 80, will retire. His spokesman said Coble would “wait to the end of the year to decide” if he’s going to run again. Potential GOP candidates for the seat, should it open, include Rockingham County District Attorney Phil Berger Jr. and Guilford County GOP Chairman Bill Wright.
7th district Incumbent: Mike McIntyre (D) 8th term (54 percent) Rating: Leans Republican
McIntyre got drawn out of this district and into the 8th district, currently represented by Kissell. But the Congressman’s campaign has said he still plans to run for re-election in the 7th.
It will be the toughest political battle of his life. He’s lost a good chunk of his political base under the new lines, and it’s a district that would have gone 58 percent for Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.).
McIntyre is known as a hard campaigner, has the advantages of incumbency and ended June with a comfortable $377,000 on hand. Democrats caution not to rule him out.
Right now, the GOP primary is limited to state Sen. David Rouzer (R) and retired Marine Ilario Pantano, who lost to McIntyre by more than 7 points in 2010. Rouzer is favored to get the nomination because Pantano has struggled with fundraising and only had $20,000 in cash on hand at the end of June.
8th district Incumbent: Larry Kissell (D) 2nd term (53 percent) Rating: Likely Republican
The mountain is steep — very, very, very steep — for Kissell to climb his way to a third term. The numbers tell part of the tale: The current 8th district swung 52 percent for Obama in 2008. The new 8th district would have voted for Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), with only 42 percent of voters casting their ballot for Obama.
Kissell had $122,000 in cash on hand at the end of June. He’ll need a lot more money if he’s going to have the war chest necessary to fight to victory. Potential GOP contenders include: state Reps. Justin Burr (no relation to the state’s senior Senator) and Jerry Dockham, businessman Pat Molamphy and financial professional Daniel Barry. Former Iredell County Commissioner Scott Keadle has already announced his intention for the seat.
9th district Incumbent: Sue Myrick (R) 9th term (69 percent) Rating: Safe Republican
Roll Call has launched a new feature, Hill Navigator, to advise congressional staffers and would-be staffers on how to manage workplace issues on Capitol Hill. Please send us your questions anything from office etiquette, to handling awkward moments, to what happens when the work life gets too personal. Submissions will be treated anonymously.