Nov. 21, 2014 SIGN IN | REGISTER
Roll Call Casualty List: See Which Incumbents Lost | Check Results Here With Our Interactive Elections Map | Sign Up for Roll Call Newsletters

Republicans Expect Ugly Florida Primary

Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo
Rep. John Mica (above) is facing Rep. Sandy Adams in a Member-vs.-Member primary.

Mica said he is planning to highlight his long-term conservative credentials and record of leadership.

Neither House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (Va.) nor a super PAC affiliated with him appears likely to get involved in this Member-vs.-Member race.

Cantor and the super PAC, YG Action Fund, supported freshman Rep. Adam Kinzinger over 10-term Rep. Don Manzullo in Illinois earlier this year. Kinzinger won, but the move ruffled feathers within the GOP Conference.

The Majority Leader doesnt plan to get involved in any Member-on-Member races, Cantor spokesman Doug Heye said.

And a source familiar with the YG Networks operations said the organization had no plans at this time to get involved in the Florida race.

But Adams may need third-party groups to come to her rescue if she is to win this race.

She had $459,000 in cash on hand at the end of March, while Mica had an impressive $1.2 million.

The pro-free-market Club for Growth, which can help drive fundraising with an endorsement, seems unlikely to get involved because the candidates hold similar records on its issues. Adams has a 68 percent Congressional rating from the club, while Mica has 78 percent lifetime rating.

If Mica is able to keep this 2- or 3-to-1 money advantage, its going to be very hard [for Adams] to punch through a message, said Tre Evers, a Republican consultant based in central Florida. He noted Micas high name ID from having been a public figure for so long.

Hes been involved with Republican politics since the 70s, Evers said. He knows, personally, thousands of people.

Mica said he has represented 93 percent of the redrawn 7th district over the course of his career a claim that couldnt be independently verified.

One issue that might play in the race is the TSA, which Mica once called the little bastard child I created.

He has worked to allow airports to privatize security under TSA supervision. Still, being a co-sponsor of the legislation that created the publicly reviled bureaucracy might be a burden.

I get patted down every week sometimes biweekly, Adams said with a chuckle. I do! I think thats a big issue ... this mess, this bureaucracy that has been grown and grown and grown.

Some of the bile that appears likely to be a defining characteristic of this race comes from the Members competing narratives of how they came to run in the 7th. Both say they feel betrayed by the other choosing to run in this safe Republican district.

Adams announced first, and then, she said, Mica came up to her on the House floor and offered to help her raise money if she moved to the 6th district.

He said he had decided to run there and that I needed to move over to the other district, Adams explained. And I just said, Well, thats your district. I am not shopping for a district. And his answer was: Ill have a million dollars cash on hand. You need to move.

Mica confirmed that he told her he would help her if she moved.

How both ended up running in the 7th probably wont matter, though. What will: Mica will have to work very hard to come back to Congress no matter his monetary advantage.

comments powered by Disqus

Map

SIGN IN




OR

SUBSCRIBE

Want Roll Call on your doorstep?