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Tough Terrain for Senate Democrats

Bill Clark/Roll Call
Sen. Scott Brown faces an uphill battle to keep his seat in heavily Democratic Massachusetts.

More importantly, can Democrats afford to play in Texas multiple media markets? After all, the party has other financial priorities with so many incumbents up for re-election.

Utah

Sen. Orrin Hatch (R) | Safe Republican

Hatch is doing his best to remind Republicans of the conservative record hes gathered over 34 years in office. The six-term Senators campaign is all-systems-go with nine months left before the state GOP convention, where 3,500 locally elected delegates will vote on their nominee.

Thats where former Sen. Bob Bennett (R) met his political fate last year, blindsided by a tea party movement whose force had not yet been proved. But Hatchs campaign is working at the local level to get supporters elected as delegates to the convention.

Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R) and conservative outside groups including the Club for Growth and FreedomWorks continue to slam Hatchs record and are actively working to oust him from the Senate. Those groups are organizing to get anti-Hatch delegates sent to the convention as well.

Chaffetz is likely to run, but he wont announce his candidacy until after Labor Day. Hell need to kick his fundraising into a higher gear if he does run. Hatch turned in another strong quarter, raising $1.3 million and boosting his war chest to $3.4 million.

Chaffetz raised $124,000 from April to June and had just $227,000 in the bank at the end of the quarter. Those are fine figures for a House re-election campaign, but he would need serious cash for a Senate race.

In the background is a potentially competitive general election challenge by Rep. Jim Matheson (D). He hasnt announced his plans yet, but even with polling showing Matheson with the lead, its hard to see how Democrats win a seat in a state that hasnt elected a Democratic Senator since 1970.

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