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Republicans Crowd Senate Field in Missouri

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Republicans are feeling more confident about unseating Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill thanks to some recent ethics issues. Roll Call Politics rates this race as a Tossup.

Republicans in Missouri and Washington, D.C., quickly jumped on the news, which was first reported by Politico, to knock the first-term Senator, whom they believe to be in increasing political peril.

“Republicans have long believed that Sen. McCaskill’s unabashed support for the Obama spending agenda made her uniquely vulnerable, but interest in this race has only grown as McCaskill’s ethics problems have mounted in recent days,” NRSC spokesman Brian Walsh said.

“There are several strong Republican candidates and potential candidates looking at the Missouri Senate race, and as with everywhere else, we’re happy to meet with them,” Walsh added.

Democrats defend McCaskill as one of the strongest advocates for good government and say re-election prospects will not take a hit by the report.

“No one has fought harder to protect taxpayers and hold government accountable than Claire,” said Matt Canter, spokesman for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. “National Republicans know that they have a very bloody primary brewing in Missouri with a number of deeply flawed candidates, and the only thing they can do is to try and distract from that.”

“I don’t think it’s going to be a make-or-break moment for the U.S. Senator,” one Democratic operative in Missouri said. “Even in what could be a tough year, I think Claire is in a good position given who is going to run against her.”

In 2010, Martin nearly beat Rep. Russ Carnahan (D) in a St. Louis-area district that President Barack Obama won two years earlier with 60 percent of the vote. He launched a new website — AirClaire.com — six hours after the news first broke about McCaskill’s charter plane issue. He said it has already paid off with several checks from donors.

Martin told Roll Call that Missourians are looking for a “new wave of conservatives” who are not interested in becoming career politicians. He said he is running because of the support that he received following his House bid last year, but Martin conceded that McCaskill would most likely outspend him and receive extensive third-party support.

“Claire is going to have as much money as she needs, and she already has public-sector unions running radio ads in Missouri saying she’s great,” Martin said. “The kitchen sink will be thrown in here to save a Democratic seat. Although she’s wounded politically, I don’t have any illusions that Claire is going to be easy to beat here.”

A poll released last week by Democratic firm Public Policy Polling found Steelman leading a four-way primary with
31 percent, followed by Akin with 24 percent, Martin with 9 percent and Wagner with 2 percent. The same firm, in a poll conducted before news broke of McCaskill’s charter plane use, found each Republican within single digits of the Senator.

Messages left with the Steelman campaign and Akin’s Congressional office were not returned by press time.

Republican operatives in the state said the map has changed since 2008, when Obama barely lost Missouri despite spending significant resources on the former bellwether state. They predicted his numbers will not likely improve from that performance.

An early March PPP poll found Obama with a 43 percent approval rating in Missouri, lower than his national average.

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