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Landry had ample tea party backing in 2010, which he could look to again for a boost against Boustany. The latest hint he is differentiating himself from the GOP establishment to prepare for a primary bid? When the entire House Republican Conference was invited to a meeting with the president earlier this month, Landry respectfully declined to attend. Boustany, who has close ties to GOP leadership, attended the meeting.
A primary bid against Boustany could settle a political score for Landry. After all, Boustany led the delegation’s work with the state Legislature to draw the new maps and therefore played a role in trying to orchestrate Landry’s ouster.
There is one cautionary note about this primary battle. The Justice Department still has to clear the Congressional map, which means the lines could still change before they’re put into practice next year, but that’s unlikely.
Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R)
1st term (57 percent)
Current district: South Chicago exurbs — Joliet; part of Bloomington-Normal
Cash on Hand (as of March 31): $237,000
Illinois Democrats drew a new Congressional map that left their GOP colleagues in disarray, pushing many GOP Members into a district with a colleague or into heavily Democratic districts. Freshman Kinzinger bore the brunt of the redraw, which pushed his home into the same overwhelmingly Democratic district as Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. (D).
The new map that was signed last week by Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn (D) does not leave Kinzinger with any good options — and all of them almost certainly involve running against another Member on mostly foreign turf.
Kinzinger would lose if he ran for re-election in Jackson’s predominantly black and urban district. He could move to run in the redrawn Democratic-leaning 11th district southwest of Chicago, but Republicans say seven-term Rep. Judy Biggert (R) is already eyeing that seat.
Unfortunately for Kinzinger, his best option in the general election would also mean his worst primary challenge. He could run in the redrawn Republican-leaning 16th district, where much of his current territory lies. But 10-term Rep. Don Manzullo (R) is already planning his re-election campaign in the 16th district, which means Kinzinger would be in a tough primary race against one of the delegation’s most powerful Republicans.
Illinois Republicans, including Kinzinger, announced last week they will not comment on the map while it’s headed to court. However, Kinzinger might have accidentally hinted where he wants to run. A couple of days after the map was initially released in late May, a GOP county chairman said Kinzinger told him he wanted to challenge Manzullo in the 16th district. Kinzinger’s office immediately pushed back on a potential challenge, and the Congressman has been mum ever since about where he would run.
Rep. Mark Critz (D)
1st full term (51 percent)
Current district: Southwest — Johnstown
Cash on Hand (as of March 31): $152,000
vs. Rep. Jason Altmire (D)
3rd term (51 percent)
Current district: West — Pittsburgh suburbs
Cash on Hand (as of March 31): $133,000
Pennsylvania Republicans are months away from releasing a map, but there is little doubt that southwestern Democrats Altmire and Critz will be drawn into the same district. Republicans have eyed the 4th and 12th districts for some time, and one simple redraw could easily solve two perennial problems for Keystone State Republicans.