Some House Members wait decades for a shot at an open Senate seat. Freshman Rep. Rick Berg (R) may have to wait only a few months.
North Dakota Republicans expect a Berg Senate candidacy — now considered to be highly likely, although not yet official — to essentially clear the field, but his pending departure from the House would also spark a free-for-all race for his briefly held at-large seat.
For the past two decades, Democrats have maintained a stronghold on North Dakota’s three Congressional offices. And since two of those seats will likely be open-seat contests next year, there’s a long line of local GOP politicians waiting for their chance to run — enough candidates that the Republican Party might have a hard-fought convention battle for the first time in several years.
“There will be a free-for-all for the House seat,” said Patrick Davis, a Republican consultant who has worked extensively in North Dakota. “It’s been many years since we had a multi-person competitive race for the House seat in North Dakota, but it too will be decided most likely at the convention in Bismarck next year.”
Although Berg isn’t officially in the race for the seat of retiring Sen. Kent Conrad (D), prospective candidates are already expressing interest in the Republican freshman’s current gig. State House Majority Leader Al Carlson (R) told a local radio station that he’s encouraging Berg to run for the Senate and, in turn, that he’s considering a bid for the House.
Tax Commissioner Cory Fong (R) told Roll Call on Monday that he’s supporting Berg’s potential Senate bid and that if Berg runs, he’ll consider running for the at-large seat.
“If he chose to do that, and that left the House seat open, I’m thinking about it,” Fong said. “I’ve been considering it, but I think it’s early. A lot of it depends and hinges on what Rick decides to do.”
Not surprisingly, some of the candidates who have been mentioned as possible contenders for Senate also made the short list of potential candidates for the House seat. Local Republicans also mentioned state Sen. Tony Grindberg and state Treasurer Kelly Schmidt as possible House candidates should Berg run.
After Berg gets in, it’s highly likely that anyone considering a bid for Senate will opt to run for the House seat instead. After all, any money they raise for the Senate race can be easily transferred to the House race.
“There are definitely some people who would do that,” state Republican Party Chairman Stan Stein said. “It’s going to be an exciting few months here.”