If youve got a dog in the health care reform fight, you might want to keep this weekend open for another nail-biter vote this time in the Senate.
Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) is hellbent on getting the debate up and running before Thanksgiving, but he also wants to try to give Members next week off. Problem is, hes still waiting for the Congressional Budget Office to give him the magic numbers on how much this legislation is going to cost.
Democratic leaders told staffers Monday they expect that CBO score to be ready today. But even under the most optimistic scenarios, Senate Democratic aides said the chamber would be unlikely to vote on whether to start debate before Friday, and several said a Saturday or Sunday vote was more likely. Just over a week ago, the House narrowly passed its health care reform measure on a Saturday.
Either way, Reid wants to be able to roll out the measure to the full Democratic Conference on Wednesday, with an outside hope of briefing Members today. Even if he gets the CBO score today, Reid probably will have to wait until at least Wednesday to start the clock ticking on the time-consuming and arcane procedural maneuvers he has to set in motion before the official Senate debate can even begin.
After all, Republicans are intent on trying to filibuster what is known as the motion to proceed to the bill, a move that if successful would prevent the Senate from considering or amending the measure. Reid needs the votes of all 60 members of the Democratic Conference to succeed, because 60 votes are needed to kill a filibuster.
But to get to 60, Reid may have to let the bill sit for a 72-hour review period that several wavering centrists, including Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.), have asked for.
Aides familiar with the Democratic leaderships thinking refused to say how long the bill will be available before the vote.
Were confident Members will have all the information they need to assess this bill before we take it to the floor, was all one senior Senate Democratic aide would say.
But another aide said Reid would definitely need to leave some window of time between presenting the bill [to the caucus] and bringing it up for a vote.
Even if Reid ignores the 72-hour request, just filing the motion to limit debate, or invoke cloture, requires a two-day wait before any vote. Filing a motion Wednesday, for example, would set up Reids optimal Friday vote.
Lincolns request, however, could be no small matter, because she appears to be the squeakiest wheel in the Caucus at this point, given other undecided Democrats now appear unlikely to vote for the filibuster. Sen. Ben Nelson (D-Neb.), for example, has not committed his vote, but he has traditionally been loath to prohibit the chamber from even debating a measure.