As House Republicans look to put more Democrats on defense in 2010, they will undoubtedly take notice of the fertile playing field in Pennsylvanias 4th district.
Voters in the district north of Pittsburgh have picked Republican presidential candidates by increasing margins since 2000. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) received 55 percent of the vote there last cycle 1 percent better than President George W. Bushs total in 2004.
But while the presidential numbers seem favorable for the GOP, Rep. Jason Altmire flipped the district into the Democratic column in 2006 and then defeated former Rep. Melissa Hart (R) again in a 2008 rematch by an even larger margin.
Now that Hart has declined to run again this cycle, Republicans are searching for a suitable challenger to Altmire and they might have found their man.
The National Republican Congressional Committee has had several conversations with state House Republican Whip Mike Turzai about running against Altmire. Turzai, who did not respond to an interview request for this story, also attended the NRCCs annual dinner in March.
Other often-mentioned Republicans, including former Pittsburgh Steelers star Lynn Swann who got a drubbing in the 2006 gubernatorial race and state Sen. Jane Orie, are not interested in running.
Altmire, meanwhile, remained bullish about his re-election prospects in an interview last week. While he called McCain a perfect fit for his district, he pointed out that 2010 is not a presidential cycle.
McCain demographically was a very credible candidate, Altmire said.
He also said hes aware that Turzai, whom he called a friend, is looking at running against him.
I know that hes being recruited, Altmire said. I havent heard that hes considering it. He ran for this seat in 1998. It did not work out very well.
By most accounts, Turzais 1998 bid for the seat against then-Rep. Ron Klink (D) was a less-than-stellar campaign. He lost to Klink, 36 percent to 64 percent, in a district that two years later gave 50 percent of the vote to Bush.
During that first campaign for the 4th district seat, Turzai was derailed by two major publicity mishaps. Two of his supporters got into an altercation with Klink on the sidewalks of Pittsburgh while trying to videotape him for a negative campaign advertisement. Klink also blasted Turzai for sending a helicopter to take aerial footage of his home as an invasion of his privacy.
Klink left the seat in 2000 to unsuccessfully challenge Sen. Rick Santorum (R), who also represented a large part of the 4th district when he was in the House. Hart represented the district for four terms until Altmire defeated her in an upset in 2006.
Turzai was elected to the Pennsylvania House in 2001, where he rose quickly to be the second-ranking Republican in Harrisburg. But Turzais ties to the state capital could be a double-edged sword for the Republican. While he has earned his stripes as an elected official, Democratic strategist J.J. Balaban said its hard for any candidates to shake recent scandals in the state legislature.
Its hard to believe that he hasnt indulged in any of the sins of Harrisburg, Balaban said. Thats for pretty much any member of the state House, in pretty much any party.